Creative Market Sizing 101
Jul 7th, 2008 by Martin Schneider
I believe that market sizing surveys and reports have a value. In a competitive world, it is good to make benchmarks in terms of what your rivals are up to - how well they’re performing, etc.
But some market estimates make no sense to me. Merrill Lynch recently put together a market report stating that it believes the Cloud Computing market (whatever that is) could be a $100 billion market in the next few years.
Awesome.
But, what exactly constitutes this market? Merrill put together a chart, which makes very little business sense to me in terms of a competitive market analysis (or any type of analysis):

So, how does anyone involved in this chart get ranked, learn about competitors - or for that matter even learn who is a competitor or potential partner?
The Cloud Computing, for lack of a better term, market is still very nascent, and I don’t think anyone has a true grasp on what it really means to be a player in this space. And by simply adding up revenues of existing players who have had their CEO rant about “the Cloud” does not make up a market segment.
Working for a company that competes with at least two vendors mentioned on this slide, I’ve learned nothing about my market segment. Does SugarCRM have aspects that make it a cloud computing player? Of course. But, SugarCRM is still dedicated to providing great applications - regardless of deployment model - to our core customers. We are not treating anyone like second-class citizens as we chase the nest buzzword in order to stay a Street favorite.


